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Elon Musk estimates Tesla fleet will attain 10 million in a couple of years

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Elon Musk estimates Tesla fleet will attain 10 million in a couple of years

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Over the weekend, Tesla CEO Elon Musk performed his highly-anticipated FSD V12 demonstration. The occasion was livestreamed on X, the place it proceeded to garner 11.1 million views as of writing. Musk’s feedback following the demo hinted at his estimate for the dimensions of Tesla’s total fleet within the coming years. 

The drive was surprisingly uneventful, partly because of the truth that FSD V12 was already behaving very similar to a human driver. As Musk highlighted in the course of the drive, FSD V12 was clean, and it reacted to conditions on the street, such because the presence of building areas and pace bumps, with none points. Musk solely needed to intervene as soon as at a busy intersection as FSD V12 was about to run a pink mild. 

Musk’s demonstration acquired various consideration on social media, with critics of the system dismissing it as proof that FSD was unsafe and supporters praising the enhancements of the system. Amongst those that noticed the significance of the demonstration was tech evangelist Robert Scoble, who described the drive as the primary “first public demo of a robotic that discovered to maneuver all over the world by watching solely movies.”

In a response to the tech evangelist’s feedback, Musk acknowledged that it’s outstanding to see that the inference compute energy wanted for the system used within the FSD V12 demo was solely about 100W on Tesla’s AI pc. The CEO famous that such a “puny quantity of energy is sufficient to obtain superhuman driving.” Musk did spotlight, nevertheless, that attaining superhuman driving with AI requires billions of {dollars} per yr and a large fleet of automobiles. 

With this in thoughts, Musk famous that Tesla at present has over 4 million vehicles on the street that’s able to coaching AI. That’s a considerable quantity, and it is vitally spectacular contemplating how younger the corporate is within the automotive sector. However, Musk additionally estimated that Tesla’s fleet could be considerably bigger sooner or later, as it could attain “roughly 10 million” in a couple of years. 

Statistic: Number of Tesla vehicles delivered worldwide from 1st quarter 2016 to 2nd quarter 2023 (in 1,000 units) | Statista
Discover extra statistics at Statista

Granted, Musk has a fame for being overly optimistic together with his estimated timeframes, nevertheless it must be famous that 10 million is kind of reasonable. As famous by Statista, in spite of everything, Tesla’s total gross sales have handed the 4.4 million mark, so if the electrical car maker continues to develop at its tempo, a complete fleet dimension of 10 million automobiles could certainly be inside attain. 

Don’t hesitate to contact us with information suggestions. Simply ship a message to simon@teslarati.com to offer us a heads-up. 

Elon Musk estimates Tesla fleet will attain 10 million in a couple of years








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